My Math on when my Order will Arrive

[Nebulocity]

So it's been a week since my order and the waiting is the hardest part. I know I've got anywhere from 6-10 weeks before it gets to the dealer, but I did receive my VIN from the dealer today, so I did a little math to estimate my arrival date, and I realize it's not scientific and has a large margin for error, but what else is there to do?

My VIN - 527xxx
Newest 2021 VIN on a dealer lot (Autotrader.com within 500m radius of my location) - 519xxx

Number of JT's between the newest on a dealer lot and my VIN - 7500
August sales of JT - 6000
FCA - Toledo working days/month - 20
Production quantity per day (and/or shipping per day) - 6000/20 = 300
7500/300 = 24.8 working days = 5 weeks from today puts ETA on dealer lot at 10/25.
That puts total time between order placement and delivery at 6 weeks.
Yes I realize that my VIN could get held up in inspection, shipping, etc, and be that ONE. But here's hoping.

Check it!

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[Gobi Wan K]

So.... something like this then

 

[JWGladiator]

I think your production quantity per day is off. Sales don’t equal production capacity.

I also don’t think, after reading so many experiences on this forum, that you can apply math or logic to the Jeep order and build process. Case in point, I think you ordered after me from the same dealer and you have a VIN and I don’t. (I know, I am just bitter)

 

[BrightWhiteGladiator]

Did you account for wallet velocity to aftermarket part checkout over time as a factor of wallet weight?

 

[Nebulocity]

I think your production quantity per day is off. Sales don’t equal production capacity.

I also don’t think, after reading so many experiences on this forum, that you can apply math or logic to the Jeep order and build process. Case in point, I think you ordered after me from the same dealer and you have a VIN and I don’t. (I know, I am just bitter)

Did you email Daniel? I did yesterday and he replied within the hour with my VIN.

 

[ALVagabond]

Shipping is the big question. Mine sat for 2 weeks waiting to leave the factory lot after it was built.

One of my coworkers ordered his 7/16 and he's been told his should be here any time now.

 

[Spcbl1]

That math doesn't explain why mine has been in "Post Build Inspection" with "nothing wrong" since 8/27...
I have come up with some math of my own. I believe that FCA would have to pay per chat session. I assume somewhere between $2 & $5 per chat depending upon the negotiated contract with the support vendor. So if I reach out to Jeep Chat 13500 times throughout my wait I will have cost them the value of my vehicle, which is a sufficient payback to them for delaying my build as long as they have.

 

[JWGladiator]

Did you email Daniel? I did yesterday and he replied within the hour with my VIN.

Yes, emailed him this am and finally got the VIN. D Status according to Jeep Chat. So, the wait continues...

 

[Nebulocity]

View attachment 111572

So it's been a week since my order and the waiting is the hardest part. I know I've got anywhere from 6-10 weeks before it gets to the dealer, but I did receive my VIN from the dealer today, so I did a little math to estimate my arrival date, and I realize it's not scientific and has a large margin for error, but what else is there to do?

My VIN - 527xxx
Newest 2021 VIN on a dealer lot (Autotrader.com within 500m radius of my location) - 519xxx

Number of JT's between the newest on a dealer lot and my VIN - 7500
August sales of JT - 6000
FCA - Toledo working days/month - 20
Production quantity per day (and/or shipping per day) - 6000/20 = 300
7500/300 = 24.8 working days = 5 weeks from today puts ETA on dealer lot at 10/25.
That puts total time between order placement and delivery at 6 weeks.
Yes I realize that my VIN could get held up in inspection, shipping, etc, and be that ONE. But here's hoping.

Check it!

Just to follow-up my original post.
Picking up my Mojave from Gupton tomorrow 10/24, arrived at the dealer 10/23.
-2 days from original estimate of 10/25.
Mic drop and.....

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