punk'n
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- R.I.P '20 Overland (totaled) Welcome home '21 Rubi
I completely understand the reasons for the delays. However, we all know some companies flat out lie about stock. Not all, but some.The problem, coming someone who works in the supply chain, is that we simply don't know. Because our suppliers don't know, and our suppliers' suppliers don't know, and so on. The covid thing really is unpredictable. There are a lot less employees working, and those that are there call off a lot more from the burnout of being overworked and minimally staffed, and it becomes a vicious cycle. And then on top of that, folks keep getting sick. Not only do you lose the sick person, but the entire department or plant in some cases due to quarantining. So required output is always less than demand, because you're not getting the number of shifts you should be.
Some questions are unanswerable until day of production or shipment, such as "Will Timmy in manufacturing show up today?", Or how will our deadline change now that the entire production line is on quarantine? Or now we have product, but the driver dropped the load. What now?
Also, a lot of systems don't allocate stock realtime, like Amazon does. Amazon is the exception, not the norm. This is transparent to the end user when there is ample stock. But when there isn't, it means at pick time, if there are 2 on order, and one in stock, someone is not getting anything. Sucks, but real-time product allocation is far from universal, and this time of shortages is exposing all of the ugly flaws in the system.
Other times, we'll think we're getting something from a supplier only to find out their production was cancelled (covid, employee or supply shortage), so now we're not. Production is so tight right now that product that hasn't even been made yet is being promised, pending production. Then when someone gets covid, or something breaks, you get nothing but empty promises. So the reality is, no one knows, and that sucks for everyone. No one wants to hear "I don't know" as an answer, but I've learned many times over the last 2 years that you can be supposedly 100% certain, and still be wrong.
I'm just looking for a realistic time frame. If its truly unknown, then they should say ETA Unknown. I'm okay with that. I can decide if I want to wait, find it somewhere else or move on to a different product for my needs.
Hopefully this will all go away in... 2022....2023....2024
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