So who is good at math, what is the percent chance our JT will catch fire.

[Freems]

Zero chance…kind of like me winning the powerball.

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[TinMan2020]

Are we factoring in the additional recall for the circuit board on the instrument cluster shorting out and going blank or just the short under the hood? It could sway the percentage a bit.

 

[Gvsukids]

Nah, bad premise on my part. 781 - 800K is the number of total production, 21,22 and 23. I was thinking, very early this AM that that was the number of definitely impacted vehicles and I was going to math it compared to total productions. Only 9 reports so far. Sorry bout that.

Whole thread on this.

https://www.jeepgladiatorforum.com/...-pump-electrical-connector-issue.85238/unread

 

[Hootbro]

9 reported does not mean there was only that amount that caught fire.

Even if the true number is 10x that, still significantly low probability.

 

[sharpsicle]

Keep in mind that the fact that assuming less than ½% failure rate, and only 9 confirmed reports, or .001%, is what triggers this kind of investigation shows just how safe modern vehicles really are. It's something to know about, absolutely, but not something to put too much worry on.

There are so many other things on the road that have a higher risk of happening that if this makes you hesitant, you might want to stop driving entirely.

 

[WILDHOBO]

Zero chance…kind of like me winning the powerball.

F that. I’m getting that damn powerball. In which case, who cares if it burns. I’ll get 20 more.

 

[Jefe1018]

I drive an eco diesel. According to half my un-torque blessed brethren here, my Jeep was on fire before it left the factory, on the way home, the last 33,000 miles I’ve driven it and looking at it parked outside the house now, I’m surprised it still hasn’t finished burning.

 

[Volt0]

100% chance for someone that’s motivated. Wouldn’t make sense to me, but I’m sure there are a few ppl that would try it.

 

[Lost1wing]

Has anyone seen an explanation for why this does not apply to 2020?

Warranty is up.

 

[sharpsicle]

Warranty is up.

The length of a vehicle warranty doesn’t affect recall status. Vehicles out of warranty have had recalls issued and serviced in the past.

 

[Lost1wing]

The length of a vehicle warranty doesn’t affect recall status. Vehicles out of warranty have had recalls issued and serviced in the past.

I am well aware of that. Jeep knows that the probability of a 2020 having the issue arise is rare. Ford did the same thing with fuel tank mounting hardware. They limited the recall by vehicles still in warranty and fleet type(police/taxi). The probability of a person sitting in a Crown Victoria on a highway was only high risk for police/ taxi vehicles. The issue is still there with all Crown Vics, but the chances of a civilian vehicle are low. It's a probability decision, if no problem occurred since 2020, it's not an issue to them.

I suppose Billy Bob could have been hired in 2021 and they found the he was doing something wrong during manufacturing. Or like someone said, a vendor change.

 

[Gvsukids]

What about the 2019 models?

 

[Lunentucker]

Has anyone seen an explanation for why this does not apply to 2020?

They just figured if they haven't ignited by now they must be OK.

 

[Trailman]

This isn’t Jeeps show. NHTSA doesn’t care about length of time. There has to be a substantial change to exclude 2020s.

for comparison I just got a safety recall on a 2017 VW.

 

[JTenn]

One other thing to consider, of the 781,xxx affected vehicles, they're not ALL JT's. I realize the architectures are identical but if you split the recall per model the probability percentage for a JT is even lower. Pretty much a moot point but the original question was regarding the JT. I'm sure there were many more JL's produced in this time frame than JT's.

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